Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 2131.652103 2313.243288 2496.769508 2695.843885 2905.388593 3119.115968 3353.287170
2025-06-08 1806.278597 2075.351386 2357.404802 2673.912003 3017.986843 3379.560318 3787.086056
2025-06-15 1647.583473 1973.719464 2324.690498 2727.989848 3176.150181 3656.528631 4207.990890
2025-06-22 1500.800626 1865.351224 2266.748047 2737.414342 3270.117634 3850.473913 4526.651340
2025-06-29 1371.871980 1764.105596 2205.105758 2731.658216 3337.310471 4006.498691 4796.107742
2025-07-06 1222.215658 1627.293195 2092.464665 2657.952572 3318.724983 4058.783821 4942.594502
2025-07-13 1180.750827 1614.354489 2120.297940 2743.622464 3480.440319 4313.811032 5317.681495
2025-07-20 1122.143574 1575.977190 2114.077328 2785.841413 3588.940983 4505.953795 5619.763364
2025-07-27 1053.588333 1520.757219 2083.709332 2795.820249 3656.683271 4648.809341 5863.543931
2025-08-03 984.684424 1460.898125 2044.069359 2791.358770 3704.557768 4766.420019 6076.505187
2025-08-10 931.324021 1417.753177 2022.412633 2806.475410 3774.038838 4908.159755 6316.958103
2025-08-17 870.297625 1361.203303 1981.022152 2794.609159 3808.671526 5006.948037 6505.644674
2025-08-24 829.526619 1330.377211 1971.880290 2823.302936 3894.073362 5168.508065 6772.122161
2025-08-31 770.220493 1271.509235 1924.181408 2801.320867 3915.532575 5252.304439 6945.592869
2025-09-07 746.887302 1260.712567 1938.118775 2857.111236 4033.244412 5452.680234 7259.516285
2025-09-14 707.393445 1225.101899 1917.469433 2866.835291 4092.085527 5580.596098 7485.699429
2025-09-21 664.835071 1182.857233 1886.047658 2860.896371 4129.849550 5681.790297 7678.984094
2025-09-28 600.243977 1105.131498 1803.459022 2784.838925 4075.787608 5667.531187 7729.567658
2025-10-05 596.576030 1117.403465 1844.526348 2873.240412 4233.406988 5917.122620 8105.283583
2025-10-12 578.175347 1106.430812 1852.513770 2916.795265 4332.842947 6094.171987 8392.090059
2025-10-19 550.091589 1079.215102 1836.551157 2927.088886 4388.402856 6215.883368 8610.480475
2025-10-26 519.044857 1045.790505 1810.463554 2922.486714 4423.642705 6311.478180 8796.251027
2025-11-02 495.911557 1023.668122 1799.642564 2938.079763 4484.978870 6439.940569 9023.171168